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Developed by Legend – Genius Sports’ consumer media and technology unit, acquired last year for $1.2 billion – Prediction.com enables users to compare equivalent event contracts across several platforms. It also follows how market probabilities evolve in real time as sports events unfold.
Integration of Genius Sports’ official in-game data with real-time market pricing will allow users to track play-by-play actions alongside dynamic market probabilities, prices and signals.
Users can compare like-for-like contracts and multi-leg positions across different exchanges, enhancing their insights and decision-making. Another feature of Prediction.com is its proprietary cross-venue engine, enabling users to compare multi-leg contract combinations.
What is Party Night?
“We expect new products such as KPI markets, which allow users to trade a single corporate metric, such as production, deliveries, or subscriber growth, rather than the stock price itself,” observe the analysts. “Further, perp futures are expanding from crypto to commodities and single stock perps.”
Some exchange operators already filed plans to introduce KPI-linked event contracts. Those derivatives would be tied to metrics such as corporate earnings or, in more nuanced cases, Apple iPhone shipments or Tesla deliveries — just two examples — in a given quarter.
While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
What is Party Night?
Last week’s first leg between these two sides was a frustrating one for both teams. Benfica will feel disappointed not to have taken advantage of Arsenal’s wasteful nature in front of goal, while The Gunners will be kicking themselves not to have sealed the tie at the first time of asking.
The away goal for the North London side will no doubt have pleased boss Mikel Arteta, but in recent weeks, his side have once again slipped down into the bottom half of the Premier League and that will not have bought him any favour with the former Invincibles’ increasingly frustrated fanbase.
We think Arsenal will have enough to progress, but they might need to get a late goal in order to progress. Frenchman Alexandre Lacazette is very reliable from those half chances that could win the tie.