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About King Tuts Tomb
For all the hoopla surrounding prediction markets and expectations that the industry will eat away at sportsbooks’ NFL handle this season, the old guard industry is expected to control nearly 80% of pro football wagers this year.
Eilers & Krejcik Gaming (EKG) estimates that bettors will plunk down $40.5 billion on the NFL this season through regulated channels. Traditional sportsbooks are projected to capture $31.7 billion of that total, compared to a handle analog of $8.4 billion for prediction markets—a 79% to 21% split in favor of legacy operators.
Handle analog is a metric used as a cleaner comparison between sportsbooks and prediction markets because the latter’s volume doesn’t compare evenly with sportsbook handle.
About King Tuts Tomb
Once the deal is completed, 80% of its EBITDA is expected to come from those two markets.
According to the deal investor deck, the combined group expects online betting and gaming to be its largest vertical, as it accounted for 48% of the group’s combined pro forma adjusted EBITDA in H1.
Distributed gaming followed at 27%, then casinos at 25%.
About King Tuts Tomb
“We still have people who loved the coding part – solving problems with code and writing beautiful code. They’re struggling with the change. For some people an important part of their work that they genuinely loved is now gone.”
There are also strategic questions around dependence on AI providers.
Cubeia is currently heavily reliant on Claude, and Grenstad questions what could happen if AI providers raise prices or if quality changes. For now, however, Grenstad sees the uncertainty as something Cubeia can learn to manage.
